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Business confidence in South Africa: Identifying key domestic drivers and the nature of their inpact.

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dc.contributor.author Maredza, Andrew
dc.contributor.author Nyamazunzu, Zvikomborero
dc.date.accessioned 2016-10-10T12:12:01Z
dc.date.available 2016-10-10T12:12:01Z
dc.date.issued 2016-09
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/11622/119
dc.description.abstract The primary objective of this paper is to empirically assess the magnitude, direction and significance of the impact of selected domestic macroeconomic fundamentals on business confidence index for the South African economy. This particular focus of the paper comes at a time in the history of the South African economy when the business climate and investor confidence is at its lowest. According to South African Chamber of Commerce and Industry (SACCI, 2016), the business confidence index reached a 22-year low record of 79.6 in December 2015 before slipping further down to its all-time low of 79.3 in May this year. The auto-regressive distributive lag (ARDL) model proposed by Pesaran et al (2001) is employed on quarterly data spanning the period 1975 – 2015 and 2002 – 2015 for two models; total business confidence and financial services business confidence respectively. We attempt to explore the relationship between business confidence and selected domestic macroeconomic indicators. Empirical results showed that real economic growth, interest rate, exchange rate, inflation outlook and stock market performance have significant impacts on business confidence. Hence, our study empirically supports the notion that macroeconomic stability drives business confidence. The results stress the need by the government to ensure that the business environment is conducive for doing business in order to boost business confidence. By instilling and preserving the needed business confidence in the financial sector and the larger economy, growth prospects and aspirations of a country improve. en_US
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.subject Business confidence en_US
dc.subject Bounds testing en_US
dc.subject Investor perception en_US
dc.subject Investor confidence en_US
dc.subject ARDL model en_US
dc.subject Economic recession en_US
dc.title Business confidence in South Africa: Identifying key domestic drivers and the nature of their inpact. en_US
dc.type Article en_US

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